If one day a pandemic of zombies happens, where do you think of the shelter? According to the movies, the mall, or even the bar, is the p...
If one day a pandemic of zombies happens, where do you think of the shelter?
According to the movies, the mall, or even the bar, is the place where characters often come to eat a piece of cake, drink tea, and cross the day with friends to wait for things to pass. But what about statisticians? New is the safest place to avoid zombies.
Is the bar a safe place as a character in the fantasy "Shaun of the Dead"?
If your ultimate goal is survival, both are not good choices. In 2015, in an effort to better understand the spread of real diseases. A group of statisticians from Cornell University in the United States simulates the spread of imaginary zombie plague across the United States.
As a result, they point out that the best place to avoid infection is in remote, sparsely populated places.
Statisticians claim that north of the Rocky Mountains - possibly somewhere in Montana or Canada - will be the best place to hide.
Researchers believe that sparse arrival will help you have a high survival rate.
A zombie pandemic in New York City may take about a month to reach suburbs of New York, due to geographical distance and slow speed of infection. That means you have a good time to escape to remote areas.
"Once zombies invade more sparsely populated areas, the entire outbreak will slow down because fewer people are bitten. So zombies are created at a slower rate." Statistician Alex Alemi said in a press release.
In their statistical hypothesis, cities are expected to fall quickly. You just need to imagine a zombie attack on a crowded New York City subway. Terrifying, isn't it? But their model showed that it took weeks for the disease to break out to rural communities and a few months to reach the northern mountains.
Of course, we're talking about zombies like movies, and not all zombies are the same. They can move very fast or climb very well. But in general, you need to move quickly to a sparsely populated area.
There are zombies that run faster than humans.
This simulation is estimated in a population of 300 million with each person supposedly in one of four states: the healthy, the infected, the zombie and the dead zombie.
Statisticians track the spread of the disease by modeling random interactions among these people. For example, zombie bites lead to infection and humans kill zombies, delaying the spread. In the end, the researchers were able to locate the zombie that took the longest time to arrive.
However, even with the best hiding place, if the zombie epidemic really came true, the future of humans is still very gloomy. "We found that in the face of reality, most of us will not escape," the authors conclude in a statistical report.
It seems a bit silly to simulate a zombie outbreak. But the Pentagon and the US Centers for Disease Control used the zombie translation script to help develop training programs to be prepared for disaster. That's it, now if the zombie epidemic happens, hurry up with your relatives as far away from the city as possible, hoping you will survive.
Mr. Nerd
